CTS Pickin' Winners On the Reg

Each week we will each post a few picks against the spread with a short description as to why we picked that game. Michael is in charge of NCAA, Clark is picking NFL, and Richard will be picking 1-3 from either.   (0-0 YTD)

 

NCAA

 

Alabama (-6.5) at Mississippi

 

The Ole Miss Rebels still haven’t been able to put it all together for one game this season.  They put forth a lackluster performance against Memphis and were embarrassed against the only descent team they have seen this year in Columbia.  Jevan Snead can’t seem to take care of the football and that is going to cost him when Rolando McClain and company roll into Oxford.  Just to illustrate how dominate the Tide has been:  The Alabama defense ranks in the top 10 nationally in pass defense (10^th), rush defense (4^th), and total yards allowed (2^nd), while the offense cracks the top 10 in rushing yards (10^th), points (8^th), and passing efficiency (9^th).  Alabama will be too much for Ole Miss on the road. 

Take the Crimson Tide minus the points -mfb

 

Michigan (+8) at Iowa

 

I am still not sold on this Iowa team.  I know they went into Happy Valley and defeated Penn State a couple of weeks back, but I just don’t think they are a top-15 football team.  They have traditional boring big ten offense that is not going to score a lot of points.  The Michigan Wolverines are coming off a loss to rival Michigan State and will be looking to get back on track.  Their spread attack captained by the youngster Tate Forcier has been impressive to this point.  Look for Michigan to put up some points and hang with the Hawkeyes on the road. 

Take Michigan plus the points - mfb

 

Kentucky (+10.5) at South Carolina

 

South Carolina may be looking past their matchup with SEC east foe Kentucky for their game with Alabama the following week.  Kentucky could not hang with the two top teams in the SEC, but South Carolina is a different story.  Their run defense has been criticized, but they slowed the Alabama running attack better than any team has to date.  All-American corner Trevard Lindley likely being out will hurt the Wildcats, but Kentucky has the personnel and coaching to keep this game close, if not win it outright. 

Take Kentucky plus the points - mfb

 

NFL

 

NY Jets at Miami Dolphins (+2)

 

Miami is coming off a slaughter of the Buffalo Bills and looked in 2008 form. Mark Sanchez finally looked like a rookie last week against New Orleans and Jason Taylor and Joey Porter will not make things any easier for Sanchez. I like the Dolphins not only to cover, but also to win the game by about four points.

Take Miami plus the points - scf

 

Dallas Cowboys at Kansas City Chiefs (+9)

 

I have never, ever picked Dallas not to cover. I have never, ever seen Tony Romo play this poorly. Without Felix Jones, and a banged up Roy Williams, look for the Cowboys to play smash mouth football and control the clock in a low scoring game. Look for the Cowboys to hold off a late charge from Matt Cassel, Larry Johnson and company and win a close one by less than a touchdown.

Take the Chiefs plus the points - scf

 

Washington Redskins at Carolina Panthers, O/U (37.5)

 

This is my favorite pick of the weekend. These two offenses have been atrocious all season while their defenses have been about average. The Redskins will give the Panthers a heavy dose of Clinton Portis while the Panthers will counter with their tandem of DeAngelo Williams and Jonathan Stewart. The Redskins have scored no more than 17 points in any game this season while the Panthers maxed out at 20 in a week 2 loss vs. Atlanta.

Take the Under - scf

 

Parlay of the Day

 

Tampa Bay Bucs at Philadelphia Eagles (-15), O/U (42).

 

This is an extremely hard game to pick because of Mcnabb’s return to the Philly lineup and yes, 15 points is a ton. In years past, especially playing at home, the Eagles have ended these games in a hurry and it has usually lead to a record day for Mcnabb. The Eagles still do not have their running game going great so look for them to air it out and put up points coming off their bye week. If the Eagles cover 15, do not even worry about the 42 because that will take care of itself.

Take the Eagles and the Over - scf

 

 

New England Patriots (-3) at Denver Broncos.

 

This is an absolute steal. The Denver Broncos are the most overrated team in all of sports right now. Sure they have a good defense. But who have they played? The Cowboys played horrendous last week and would have beat them had it not been for a late, acrobatic play from Brandon Marshall. The only team that has proven to be half-way decent is Cincinatti, whom they beat 12-7. Oakland and Cleveland are probably the worst two teams in football. On the other end you have a revitalized Patriots team- not to mention that lunatic-wizard Belichick loves beating the shit out of his former assistants.

Load up on the Patriots minus the points - rw