Too bad that phrase doesn’t apply to betting. CTS had a blowout win on Thursday and was dead on with the Falcons last night, but struggled in between. Even with Bradford going down, we were able to squeak out a win early on Saturday. Then the two worst offenses to date in the Pac-10 managed to hit the over in the first half. If that wasn't strange enough, defensive mastermind Bud Foster failed to put together a scheme against a GT team who only completed one pass in its win over Va Tech.
Monday, October 19, 2009
Start Strong, Finish Strong
Friday, October 16, 2009
CTS Pickin' Winners On the Reg
NCAA
Virginia Tech (-3) at Georgia Tech
Virginia Tech has been outstanding this season with the exception of an opening loss to Alabama and a few defensive breakdowns at Duke. Georgia Tech has also been impressive with only one loss at Miami. Paul Johnson’s offense has been putting up a lot of points this year (33 pts/gm). They feast on undisciplined defenses, but Bud Foster will draw something up and they will be more than prepared. On top of that, Tyrod Taylor and Ryan Williams really have that VT offense clicking.
Oklahoma (+3.5) vs. Texas (Neutral Site)
The deciding factor in this game was Sam Bradford’s performance last week. He threw for 389 yards and a touchdown in his first game back since separating his shoulder in the first game of the year. Now that Oklahoma’s offense is back to form, it will put that much more pressure on Colt McCoy. The Texas offense is a two-man show between Colt McCoy and Jordan Shipley. The running game is non-existent, which is very bad news when facing an Oklahoma defense that has been tough to score on this year. Look for Sam Bradford to shine and Oklahoma to pick up a much needed win.
California at UCLA, O/U (44)
Both Cal and UCLA come into this game winless in the conference. Their offenses have put up embarrassing numbers the first two conference games (Cal 3 pts/gm; UCLA 13 pts/gm). Cal likes to keep the ball on the ground and UCLA has a very conservative offense. This total is way too high.
Miami (-14) at UCF
Miami has had the hardest schedule in college football this year. They have had impressive wins against FSU, Oklahoma, and GT. Their lone loss came to the hands of a hot VT team and Miami was simply worn out playing its fourth consecutive top 25 team. UCF looked decent against Memphis (still giving up 270 yds in the air), but barely beat Samford and has lost to Southern Miss and ECU, who are both having down years. Look for Jacory Harris to lead an explosive Miami offense to a convincing win Saturday night.
NFL
Philadelphia Eagles (-14.5) at Oakland Raiders
The Oakland Raiders looked absolutely embarrassing last week in a blowout loss to the G-Men and have lost their last three games by a total of 20, 23, and 37 points. JaMarcus Russell only seems to be getting worse as the season progresses and the Eagles number 3 ranked defense will not make things easier. The Eagles will get out in front early and should win this game by about three touchdowns.
Arizona Cardinals at Seattle Seahawks (-3) O/U (47)
Seattle looked awfully impressive last week in a 41-0 blowout of the Jaguars. Arizona’s inconsistency continued with a 28-21 win over the Texans at home. Look for lots of passing in this game considering Arizona has the third ranked passing offense in the NFL along with the worst ranked pass defense in the league. That being said, I expect a high scoring game with Arizona’s inconsistency continuing in their first real road test of the season. I like the Seahawks to win by about a score of 34-21.
Chicago Bears at Atlanta Falcons (-3)
The Falcons are coming off a decisive win over a strong 49ers team on the road. They will ride that momentum into the GA dome Sunday night. They have arguably the most balanced attack offensively in the NFL with a power RB (Turner), a Hall of Fame TE (Gonzalez), Efficient QB (Ryan), and an explosive WR (White). The Bears have had a confusing season thus far. They lost in an ugly battle against the Pack, barely beat a Seneca Wallace-lead Seahawks team, but managed to take down the defending Superbowl Champs (who haven’t been overly impressive). Atlanta won’t be able to blow out Cutler and the Bears like they did the 49ers, but look for Favre jr. (Cutler) to throw an interception or two to help the Falcons win by a TD at home.
Thursday, October 15, 2009
Appetizer
Cincinnati (-2) at South Florida
Who would’ve thought before the season that the winner of this game would sit alone at the top in the Big East? South Florida has shocked the conference by starting the year 5-0 and being ranked 21st in the country. The bad news for Bull fans, however, is that they have yet to play a quality opponent. Their signature wins are against Florida State (who has since been deemed extremely overrated) and Syracuse (no elaboration needed). They boast a good defense statistically, but they have yet to face an offense as explosive as Cincinnati’s. The Bearcats offense ranks 3rd in the country in scoring offense (42 pts/game), but what’s amazing about that statistic is they are ranked dead last in time of possession. That means that Heisman hopeful quarterback Tony Pike leads the offense down the field quickly and effectively. USF gave up 270 pass yards to both Greg Paulus (yeah the former "Dukie") and a struggling FSU offense. I just don’t see them being capable of slowing down the fast tempo offense that Brian Kelly has implemented. Cincinnati already proved they can win on the road with their impressive victory over Oregon State on the west coast.
Take the Bearcats minus the points -mfb
Wednesday, October 14, 2009
ALCS & NLCS Previews

After an extremely uneventful division series that did not have a single game 5 and included three sweeps, it is now time for the championship series. The NLCS is a rematch from 2008 between the Dodgers and the Phillies while the AL features the Yankees and the Angels.
The Dodgers looked absolutely amazing in their sweep against the Cardinals. The pitching of Clayton Kershaw, Vicente Padilla, and that Dodger bullpen shut down the hot bats of the Cards and were even able to out duel Chris Carpenter and Adam Wainwright. Because of the sweep, the Dodgers have their rotation in order with Randy Wolf set to start game one Thursday night in L.A. The Phillies will counter with Cole Hamels in game 1 with Cliff Lee having to wait all the way until game 3 to pitch because of his game 4 start against the Rockies.
If the Phillies stand any chance of winning this series, Hamels has to be in ’08 form. Last year in the NLCS against the Dodgers, Hamels was 2-0 with a 1.93 ERA against the Dodgers and took home the NLCS MVP award. In the regular season in ’09, Hamels was 10-11 with a 4.32 ERA and in his only outing so far this postseason, Hamels only lasted 5 innings against the Rockies while giving up 4 earned runs and taking the loss for the Phils. If Hamels can pitch like he did in ’08, the Phillies are the favorite.
For the Dodgers to win the series, Andre Ethier, Rafael Furcal, and Manny Ramirez will have to continue to hit the ball like they did against the Cards going a combined 16-37. That being said, players such as Matt Kemp and James Loney will have to step up their play after combining to go 5-26 against tough St. Louis pitching. A big key for the Dodgers will be how their 21-year-old game 2 starter, Clayton Kershaw, will pitch. If the youngster can handle the pressure and continue to pitch like he has been pitching all season, the Dodgers have a real shot. The Dodgers clearly have the edge in the bullpen with Jonathan Broxton at closer coming off a season in which he had 36 saves and a 2.61 ERA. Broxton, of course, was much more impressive than the Phils’ Brad Lidge, who had a 7.21 ERA with 11 blown saves.
The ALCS begins Friday night in the Bronx with a matchup of C.C. Sabathia vs. John Lackey. Personally, these look like the two best teams in baseball. Coming off sweeps of the Twins and Red Sox respectively, the two teams who lead the entire MLB in runs scored in ’09 will battle it out from coast to coast in what figures to be a long, high scoring series.
The Angels finally did what they have not been able to do in recent years by beating the Red Sox in the postseason. Not only did they beat the Red Sox, they swept them in three games outscoring the Sox 16-7 in the series. The lineup of Figgins, Aybar, Guerrero, Hunter, Abreu, and Napoli, just to name a few and trust me they have more, will continue to hit. Even against the likes of Sabathia, Burnett, and Pettitte, the bats will continue to stay hot for the AL West champs. If the Angels have any questions it is in their rotation. Between John Lackey, Jered Weaver, and the newly acquired Scott Kazmir, not one is a clear-cut postseason ace. Lackey has had previous postseason success, but Kazmir and Weaver combine for only 4 postseason starts. The Angels were 21st in the MLB in the regular season with a combined ERA of 4.45. That being said, for the Angels to win the series, the sticks will have to stay hot and the bullpen of Brian Fuentes and Darren Oliver will have to continue getting batters out.
The New York Yankees are coming off a three game sweep of the Minnesota Twins and look hungry for a championship. They have their rotation set up perfectly for the series and their bats look like they did all season long. The Yankees may be the scariest team left with their postseason goat, Alex Rodriguez, going 5-11 against the Twins with 6 RBI’s and two clutch home runs to help win games two and three. With the sticks of Jeter, Tex, Matsui, and Posada around what looks to be a different A-Rod, the Yankees should give the Angels pitching fits. Now that Joe Girardi has thrown out the “Joba rules”, that Yankee middle relief is secure again and Mariano Rivera can wait until the ninth to do his thing. Brian Cashman has finally put together a roster capable of winning a championship and to me; the Yankees are the favorite until someone knocks them off.
Tuesday, October 13, 2009
Tiger, Hurry Up and Wait

Tiger, U.S. Roll in President's Cup
Every sports fan looks forward to weekends during football season so they can sink in the couch and cheer on their favorite NFL and College Football teams. This may have caused you to overlook the masterful performance put on by Sir Tiger Woods in the President’s Cup this weekend. Tiger ended up a perfect 5-0 on the weekend. He is only the 3rd professional golfer to win 5 matches in one President’s Cup, and became the all time leader in points with 18. The United States won the event by a score of 19.5 – 14.5, with Tiger’s 5 points being the difference.
88
This is not a posting about Dale Jr., Michael Irvin, Eric Lindros, or Marvin Harrison (please tell me you notice the commonality here). No, this post is about CTS' winning percentage.
Sunday, October 11, 2009
The Debate over the Debate

MJ, Kobe, and Lebron
When MJ was in the same league as Magic Johnson and Larry Bird, MJ was the best player. When MJ was in the same league as Clyde Drexler and Isiah Thomas, MJ was the best player. When he was in the same league as Reggie Miller and Karl Malone, he was the best player. Even his last season with the Bulls when he was 35 and Shaquille O’Neal was 26 in his sixth year in the league and second season with the Lakers, MJ was the best player. Kobe Bryant just became the best player on his team six seasons ago.
For all you Kobe lovers out there, who say “oh well Kobe was only 23,24, and 25 during the three-peat run with Shaq, how could he be dominant?” take a look at what Jordan did at that age. When Jordan was 23, he only played in eighteen games because of an injury, but at 24 and 25, he took over. At age 24 he lead the league in scoring with a whopping 37 points a game. That was just a warm up for what Michael would do the next season. In 1988, at the age of 25, Michael Jordan lead the league again in scoring at 35 a game, won the defensive player of the year award, and won his first NBA MVP award.
That same year in 1988, Jordan shot 53% from the field. Kobe Bryant has never shot 50% in a season. Ever. Jordan did it eight times and averaged 50% for his career. Oh, and yes, I am including his two seasons with the Wizards. In the playoffs, MJ shot 50% or better in six different seasons. Kobe Bryant did it once and that is just because I rounded .497 up.
The one aspect of the game that everybody seems to say Kobe is clearly better at than Michael is the three point shot. The only reason people say that is because that was the worst part of Jordan’s game. In Bryant’s career, he has shot 34% from beyond the arc, and 33% in the playoffs. In Jordan’s career, he shot 33% from downtown and 33% also in the playoffs. Big difference huh?
As you can now tell, Lebron is not getting much attention in this article. How many rings does LeBron have? Exactly. Let me know how he is doing in 2015 and then maybe I’ll debate the fact that he is being debated with Jordan.
As for Kobe, anyone who knows me, or knows anything about basketball, knows I can go on and on about why Michael is better. Whether it be Jordan’s six Finals MVP awards to Kobe’s one, or even the fact that Jordan took the two best years of his career off, in between the Bulls’ two three-peats, to play baseball. (Quick note also on all you Jordan baseball haters, he did hit over .300 in the second half of his season with the Barons.) The fact is, there are plenty of reasons, stats, numbers and awards to prove that this is not a debate. I just hope this article has not changed anyone’s opinion on the subject matter because it was clearly a no-brainer to begin with.
(CTS TWO PART SERIES COMING SOON: 2009-10 WESTERN AND EASTERN CONFERENCE PREVIEWS)
Friday, October 9, 2009
CTS Pickin' Winners On the Reg
Each week we will each post a few picks against the spread with a short description as to why we picked that game. Michael is in charge of NCAA, Clark is picking NFL, and Richard will be picking 1-3 from either. (0-0 YTD)
NCAA
Alabama (-6.5) at Mississippi
The Ole Miss Rebels still haven’t been able to put it all together for one game this season. They put forth a lackluster performance against Memphis and were embarrassed against the only descent team they have seen this year in Columbia. Jevan Snead can’t seem to take care of the football and that is going to cost him when Rolando McClain and company roll into Oxford. Just to illustrate how dominate the Tide has been: The Alabama defense ranks in the top 10 nationally in pass defense (10th), rush defense (4th), and total yards allowed (2nd), while the offense cracks the top 10 in rushing yards (10th), points (8th), and passing efficiency (9th). Alabama will be too much for Ole Miss on the road.
Take the Crimson Tide minus the points -mfb
Michigan (+8) at Iowa
I am still not sold on this Iowa team. I know they went into Happy Valley and defeated Penn State a couple of weeks back, but I just don’t think they are a top-15 football team. They have traditional boring big ten offense that is not going to score a lot of points. The Michigan Wolverines are coming off a loss to rival Michigan State and will be looking to get back on track. Their spread attack captained by the youngster Tate Forcier has been impressive to this point. Look for Michigan to put up some points and hang with the Hawkeyes on the road.
Take Michigan plus the points - mfb
Kentucky (+10.5) at South Carolina
South Carolina may be looking past their matchup with SEC east foe Kentucky for their game with Alabama the following week. Kentucky could not hang with the two top teams in the SEC, but South Carolina is a different story. Their run defense has been criticized, but they slowed the Alabama running attack better than any team has to date. All-American corner Trevard Lindley likely being out will hurt the Wildcats, but Kentucky has the personnel and coaching to keep this game close, if not win it outright.
Take Kentucky plus the points - mfb
NFL
NY Jets at Miami Dolphins (+2)
Miami is coming off a slaughter of the Buffalo Bills and looked in 2008 form. Mark Sanchez finally looked like a rookie last week against New Orleans and Jason Taylor and Joey Porter will not make things any easier for Sanchez. I like the Dolphins not only to cover, but also to win the game by about four points.
Take Miami plus the points - scf
Dallas Cowboys at Kansas City Chiefs (+9)
I have never, ever picked Dallas not to cover. I have never, ever seen Tony Romo play this poorly. Without Felix Jones, and a banged up Roy Williams, look for the Cowboys to play smash mouth football and control the clock in a low scoring game. Look for the Cowboys to hold off a late charge from Matt Cassel, Larry Johnson and company and win a close one by less than a touchdown.
Take the Chiefs plus the points - scf
Washington Redskins at Carolina Panthers, O/U (37.5)
This is my favorite pick of the weekend. These two offenses have been atrocious all season while their defenses have been about average. The Redskins will give the Panthers a heavy dose of Clinton Portis while the Panthers will counter with their tandem of DeAngelo Williams and Jonathan Stewart. The Redskins have scored no more than 17 points in any game this season while the Panthers maxed out at 20 in a week 2 loss vs. Atlanta.
Take the Under - scf
Parlay of the Day
Tampa Bay Bucs at Philadelphia Eagles (-15), O/U (42).
This is an extremely hard game to pick because of Mcnabb’s return to the Philly lineup and yes, 15 points is a ton. In years past, especially playing at home, the Eagles have ended these games in a hurry and it has usually lead to a record day for Mcnabb. The Eagles still do not have their running game going great so look for them to air it out and put up points coming off their bye week. If the Eagles cover 15, do not even worry about the 42 because that will take care of itself.
Take the Eagles and the Over - scf
New England Patriots (-3) at Denver Broncos.
This is an absolute steal. The Denver Broncos are the most overrated team in all of sports right now. Sure they have a good defense. But who have they played? The Cowboys played horrendous last week and would have beat them had it not been for a late, acrobatic play from Brandon Marshall. The only team that has proven to be half-way decent is Cincinatti, whom they beat 12-7. Oakland and Cleveland are probably the worst two teams in football. On the other end you have a revitalized Patriots team- not to mention that lunatic-wizard Belichick loves beating the shit out of his former assistants.
Load up on the Patriots minus the points - rw
Tuesday, October 6, 2009
Familiar Faces in October
Ok so I don’t quite know how to post a blog and I don’t know how to bash Brett Favre like I planned to today after that impressive performance Monday night. What I will do is change it up a bit. It's October people. Let's talk baseball.
-scf
Sunday, October 4, 2009
Missing the Point
10/5/09
The “why” behind the Favre saga.
For a while now I have been a Packers fan, or so I thought. I became a Packer’s fan through circumstance. Growing up a HUGE Alabama Football fan, I was brainwashed to love George Teague after “the play” he made against Miami in the 92’ Sugar Bowl. The Packers then drafted Teague.
- rw