Murphy's Law

As it applies to predicting football games.

For those not familiar with Murphy's Law, it states "anything that can go wrong will go wrong."CTS had a successful weekend, managing to go 6-4-1, even after a strange turn of events at the end of the early slate of NFL games.

After a brilliant Saturday with 3 blowouts (GT, TCU, and the AU/LSU under) and our only loss coming in OT, CTS felt great going into Sunday with a 4-1 mark under our belt. With 5 minutes to go in all of our morning games, it appeared CTS would enjoy a 4-0 performance to start off the day. The Colts and the Packers covered easily and the Vikings and Texans were well on their way. 

Now back to Murphy's Law. The Texans managed to push, winning 24-21, after being up 21-0 at halftime. In the last six minutes, The Vikings allowed two defensive touchdowns, one on a pass completely muffed by the normally sure-handed Chester Taylor inside the Pittsburgh 20. So instead of scoring a touchdown to seal the win and easily cover, the Vikings turn the ball over and fail to tackle the not-so agile Keyaron Fox before he scores a touchdown, which not only seals the game for the Steelers, but covers the spread.

The afternoon was a different story. The Bears didn't show up and the Bengals played by far their best game of the season. This was the surprise game of the week, considering that the Bengals were handled by the Texans last week, and the Bears have showed flashes of brilliance this year. Hindsight is always 20/20, and maybe it wasn't a great idea to pick the under with such a high-scoring team involved like the Saints. We didn't think the Dolphins would be able to score more than 20 while keeping the ball on the ground, and certainly didn't expect 14 points to be posted from the defensive side of the ball. 

All that could go wrong did go wrong, yet CTS had a winning weekend and is still over 65% for the year. Thanks for reading and feel free to comment or email us with any questions or concerns. 

-rw